Tasman District Council and Nelson City Council are together working on the Nelson-Tasman Future Development Strategy, or the FDS.
The FDS will be a high-level plan to determine how the Nelson City and Tasman District will accommodate the next 30 years of housing and business growth. It will be prepared a period of eight months.
The FDS will show where growth is to be located, and in what form, and what infrastructure will be needed to support that growth.
Public feedback on high-level scenarios and ideas took place in early February 2019. A second round of feedback focused on more detailed future growth options will start in April.
The two Councils have done an analysis of population, dwelling and business growth projections for the 30 year period of 2018 to 2048. For the first 10 years (2018 to 2028) a high growth scenario has been assumed, followed by a medium growth projection for the following 20 years thereafter.
Analysis and modelling for Nelson and Tasman Districts indicate that sufficient capacity has been provided to meet the next 10 years' growth. However, the analysis suggests that in the longer term there will be demand for around 6,000 additional dwellings in Tasman District, and around 8,000 dwellings in Nelson City, over the period to 2048. There will also be demand for business and commercial land.
Developing an FDS will provide an opportunity to consider how and where we provide for growth over the next 30 years.
Residential and business growth is important to plan for. Without residential supply, prices go up, young people and skilled workers cannot afford to live here, and the economy suffers from labour shortages.
There are also statutory and legislative requirements on the Councils to plan for, and manage, growth. An important document is the National Policy Statement on Urban Development Capacity which places requirements on the Councils.
However, it is important to manage growth so that development happens in a planned way. This is necessary to avoid hazards, avoid the undesirable effects of ad hoc development, and to ensure it occurs in locations where infrastructure can be provided.
Planning future growth and development always has challenges. All land has some constraints on use, and nowhere is entirely free from the effect of natural hazards. The trick for the FDS will be to take these constraints into account, but also provide for the growth that will occur.
Some of the physical constraints are:
There are also considerations such as an ageing population, the trend towards smaller houses, and the significant benefits of intensification of urban areas.
This is where we want feedback from the people of Nelson and Tasman. We will be undertaking a robust assessment of options, but throughout this process we want to know what you think. How do you want to see Nelson and Tasman develop in the future to accommodate the forecast growth? What are our options? Is there anything we should rule in or rule out? Where should we direct our efforts? Do you have any ideas that we may not have thought of?
Some examples to get you thinking:
Public feedback on high-level scenarios and ideas took place in January and February 2019. The second round, in April, will seek feedback on more detailed future growth options.
The Future Development Strategy is a very high level document that will guide and inform the more detailed proposals and processes that will follow.